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Debt, Delinquencies, and Distress Rise

Debt, Delinquencies, and Distress Rise

Is America's debt pileup accelerating—right as households show fresh signs of strain? The latest data from the New York Fed paints one unmissable picture: total U.S. household debt jumped $185 billion last quarter, reaching a record $18.39 trillion. All major categories—mortgages, auto loans, credit cards, student loans—saw balances grow. The debt mountain is now 30% higher than pre-pandemic, outpacing GDP growth for all but the most recent stretch.

Yet beneath the headline, delinquency trends sound alarms:

  • 3% of all debt is now at least 90 days late—up from 2.8% last quarter, hitting a post-2020 high
  • Student loan serious delinquencies hit 12.9%, the highest in 21 years of data
  • Mortgages and home equity lines of credit saw small delinquency upticks—even as FHA (first-time/lower income) borrowers look increasingly exposed

Why this matters: Financial pressure is mounting, especially as rates remain elevated and the “payment freeze” for student loans is officially over. Policymakers say consumers are “in good shape”—but a close look shows cracks forming.

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