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Fresh coverage on the economy, markets, and the forces moving money.
China CPI Hits Three-Year High as PPI Deflation Persists
December CPI rose 0.8% on seasonal food shifts, while PPI fell 1.9%, highlighting weak demand.
Mortgage Rates Edge Up but Hold Near Late-2024 Lows
Freddie Mac’s 30-year rate ticked to 6.16% as jobless claims lifted yields ahead of Friday jobs data.
Mixed Labor Signals Set Up Key Test in Jobs Report
ADP’s 41,000 December gain and lower JOLTS openings contrast with rising job-loss fears before Jan. 9.
Trump’s Venezuela Oil Push Runs Into Oversupply and High Costs
With crude near $60 and breakevens around $80, heavy sour barrels need stability and incentives.
Forecasters See K-Shaped Growth as Policy Drives Early 2026
Analysts expect expansion, with fiscal tailwinds masking rate- and price-driven strain on lower-income households.
ADP Jobs Rebound, Sticky Wages Complicate Fed Cuts Outlook
December added 41,000 private jobs after a revised November decline, while job-changer pay rose 6.6%.