Economy
Macro indicators, policy shifts, and economic forces shaping growth and inflation.
IMF to cut 2026 growth forecast in Tuesday outlook
The IMF heads into Washington as the global outlook darkens, with the Iran war lifting energy costs, inflation and pressure on households.
Economy Watch
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Economy Watch
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March CPI report shows biggest monthly price jump since June 2022
U.S. consumer prices rose 0.9% in March as the war with Iran sent gasoline up 21.2% and lifted annual inflation to 3.3%.
Labor-force participation rate slips to lowest since 1977 outside pandemic
U.S. payrolls rose in March, but the labor-force participation rate fell to 61.9%, its lowest since 1977 outside the pandemic.
Iran war pushes U.S. inflation higher on gasoline prices
March CPI rose 0.9% and 3.3% from a year earlier as gasoline and oil surged after the war with Iran pushed energy prices higher.
IMF warns Iran war could trigger emerging-market capital outflows
Georgieva said the war points to “higher prices and slower growth,” even if fighting stopped immediately.
Iran war lifts mortgage rates and borrowing costs
Reuters said Treasury yields jumped as investors weighed higher oil prices and inflation worries, raising borrowing costs across housing and credit.