China’s Record Surplus, Fed Independence Risks In Focus
China posts a $1.18T surplus, UK GDP beats forecasts, and Kashkari flags Fed political risk.
Ben Carter is a staff writer at P&L, covering markets, dealmaking, and public companies. He previously worked in equity research, focusing on valuation, earnings, and IPOs.
China posts a $1.18T surplus, UK GDP beats forecasts, and Kashkari flags Fed political risk.
ONS data showed November GDP up 0.3% after October’s drop, partly reversing one-off weakness from a Jaguar Land Rover cyberattack.
As scrutiny rises ahead of a Fed leadership transition, Kashkari argues independence is vital to monetary policy credibility.
US-bound shipments fell sharply, but rising exports to EU and ASEAN kept China’s 2025 surplus at $1.18T.
CPI held at 2.7% as necessities rose, widening spending splits while China surpluses stoked tariff risks.
Carney’s Beijing trip targets easing China’s counter-tariffs while EV tariffs and USMCA review constrain concessions.
Exports rose 5.5% despite weak domestic demand, heightening fears of new barriers and probes in 2026.
Rising grocery, utility, and health-care costs squeeze lower incomes as top earners keep travel and dining spend strong.
Grocery, gas, and electricity costs rose as shutdown data quirks complicate readings, keeping the Fed cautious.