Commodities and the Rising Cost of Resilience
Commodity demand is becoming policy-mandated while supply stays constrained by geology, permitting, and capital discipline.
Macro indicators, policy shifts, and economic forces shaping growth and inflation.
Commodity demand is becoming policy-mandated while supply stays constrained by geology, permitting, and capital discipline.
The old price-up, capital-in, output-up loop is weakening as permitting, geology, labor, and infrastructure cap how quickly new supply can emerge.
The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate reached 6.75% on Tuesday, marking its highest level since July 2025 following a sharp spike since late February.
Japan's economy grew at a 2.1% annualized rate in the first quarter, exceeding the 1.7% forecast on strong exports and consumption.
UK wage growth slowed to 3.4% in the first quarter of 2026 while youth unemployment reached its highest level since late 2014 at 14.7%.
China committed to buying at least $17 billion of American agricultural products annually through 2028 and will purchase 200 Boeing aircraft.
China committed to purchasing $17 billion of American agricultural products annually through 2028 and an initial 200 Boeing aircraft.
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China committed to purchasing at least $17 billion in U.S. agricultural products annually through 2028 along with 200 Boeing aircraft.
China committed to purchasing at least $17 billion in American agricultural products annually through 2028 following a summit in Beijing.
China agreed to purchase at least $17 billion in American agricultural products annually through 2028 following a two-day summit in Beijing.
China agreed to purchase at least $17 billion in American agricultural products annually through 2028 in addition to existing soybean commitments.