Economy

Macro indicators, policy shifts, and economic forces shaping growth and inflation.

Tariff threat raises costs

On Friday, President Donald Trump warned on social media he is weighing a 100% tariffs hike on Chinese imports and new export controls after Beijing tightened rules on rare earths,

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GDP Revision Bolsters AI-Led Growth Case

NVDA -0.70%AMAT -2.71%TSM +1.42%Moves based on latest close • Data via Yahoo! Finance On Sept. 25, the Commerce Department’s final estimate revised second‑quarter

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Data Blackout Threatens Key Releases

Today, the federal government shutdown has put the release of the crucial monthly jobs report and other economic statistics at risk, potentially leaving markets and policymakers without official data for

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PCE: Inflation In Line

Friday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported the August Personal Consumption Expenditures price index rose 0.26% month‑over‑month and 2.7% year‑over‑year, roughly matching economist forecasts

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PCE Steady, GDP Revised Higher

Friday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis’ PCE release showed the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge rose 2.7% year‑over‑year in August, with the core PCE (ex food and

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PCE: Core Inflation Steady

Today, the Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge of consumer prices showed core Personal Consumption Expenditures held near recent levels, a result that keeps markets focused on the timing of further

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Macro Resilience, Policy Risks

The OECD lifted its outlook for global growth to 3.2% in 2025 (from 2.9%), with the U.S. raised to 1.8%. The upgrade underscores better-than-expected momentum in

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Economy Featured

US Labor Market: A Sluggish Grind

Is the job market finally running out of steam, or just grinding through a rough patch? The latest wave of data offers little comfort: ADP reports just 54,000 private-sector

1 min read