Treasury auctions show weak demand as Iran war lifts yields
As oil stays near $112, Washington faces $10T in debt refinancing and a possible $200B war request, with higher yields feeding into mortgages and stocks.
2 min read
Ben Carter
Ben Carter is a staff writer at P&L, covering markets, dealmaking, and public companies. He previously worked in equity research, focusing on valuation, earnings, and IPOs.
Mortgage rates hit 6.38%, reshaping spring homebuying
Freddie Mac’s average 30-year fixed rate rose to 6.38% for a fourth straight week, and a $450,000 buyer pays about $1,120 more per year than a month ago.
2 min read
U.S. consumer sentiment hits three-month low as gas prices jump
Higher gas prices and rising borrowing costs pushed U.S. consumer sentiment to 53.3 in March, with the steepest slide among middle- and higher-income households.
2 min read
Weak Treasury demand lifts yields as Iran conflict drives oil
Weak demand at recent Treasury auctions pushed yields higher as investors weigh oil-driven inflation and rising U.S. borrowing costs amid the Iran conflict.
2 min read
Gas prices near $4 as Iran-Hormuz shutdown snarls oil shipping
Average gas prices hit $3.98 a gallon as the Iran conflict disrupts crude and LNG flows through the Strait of Hormuz.
2 min read
OECD lifts 2026 U.S. inflation forecast to 4.2% on Iran war shock
The OECD now sees U.S. inflation at 4.2% in 2026, far above the Fed’s 2.7% view, as the Iran war energy shock ripples through shipping and supply chains.
3 min read
Iran war triggers supply-chain crisis after Strait of Hormuz shipping freeze
Wood Mackenzie estimates about 9M barrels a day of Gulf output now sits shut in, while Fed Chair Jerome Powell warned of “an energy shock of some size and duration”.
2 min read
Euro zone PMI hits 50.5 as energy costs surge
S&P Global’s flash composite PMI hit 50.5 in March, with weaker hiring and cooling new orders complicating ECB rate-cut plans as inflation risks rise.
2 min read
Gold falls 22% from January peak as bear market deepens
Gold fell as much as 2% Tuesday and logged its worst weekly drop since 2011 last week, as markets scaled back expectations for aggressive Fed rate cuts.
2 min read
Bank of Japan plans new inflation gauge after subsidies cool core CPI
The BOJ plans a new price indicator by summer to filter out subsidy effects, as officials weigh imported inflation risks from oil and the yen against a softer headline CPI.
2 min read
Oil traders place $580 million bets before Trump Iran post
Trump’s comments on talks with Iran eased oil’s fear premium tied to the Strait of Hormuz, even as Tehran denied direct negotiations.
2 min read
Japan core CPI slows to 1.6% as BOJ weighs rate hikes
The BOJ plans a new summer indicator to strip out one-off policy effects as it weighs hikes amid weak yen, higher oil prices and subsidy-driven CPI swings.
2 min read