Economy Watch
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Macro indicators, policy shifts, and economic forces shaping growth and inflation.
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Pakistan’s foreign ministry called the UAE repayment a routine maturity under “bilateral commercial agreements,” even as analysts warn reserves could thin.
U.S. employers added 178,000 jobs in March, and unemployment fell to 4.3% as health care, construction and transportation led the rebound.
Employers added 178,000 jobs in March and unemployment fell to 4.3%, giving the Fed more room to hold rates as bond yields rose.
Pakistan will repay $3.5B to the UAE by month end, a senior official told Dawn, calling the move worth it to uphold “national dignity.” US payrolls rose 178,000 in March.
Economists called it “too early” to show the Iran war’s oil shock, with crude up more than 50% since the conflict began.
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Retail gas jumped about $1 in a month to roughly $3.98 a gallon, and consumers lifted 1-year inflation expectations to 3.8%.
Higher gas prices and rising borrowing costs pushed U.S. consumer sentiment to 53.3 in March, with the steepest slide among middle- and higher-income households.
The OECD now sees U.S. inflation at 4.2% in 2026, far above the Fed’s 2.7% view, as the Iran war energy shock ripples through shipping and supply chains.
S&P Global’s flash composite PMI hit 50.5 in March, with weaker hiring and cooling new orders complicating ECB rate-cut plans as inflation risks rise.